In a report that could make even the most hardened crypto enthusiast clutch their digital wallets, JPMorgan analysts have sounded the alarm. The crypto market, they warn, is teetering on the edge of a short-term downturn. The culprit? A dramatic drop in institutional interest in Bitcoin 
and Ethereum futures contracts. 📉
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De acordo com o relatório, a capitalização de mercado total do mercado de criptografia já perdeu 15% de seu valor em apenas dois meses, despencando de um pico de US $ 3,72 trilhões em 17 de dezembro a US $ 3,17 trilhões. Os futuros de Bitcoin e Ethereum na Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) agora estão flertando com “atraso”, um termo que soa como um movimento de dança, mas na verdade é um sinal de problema. 🕺💔
A atraso, para os não iniciados, ocorre quando os preços futuros caem abaixo dos preços spot. Panigirtzoglou, um dos analistas, observou que um cenário semelhante foi realizado em meados de 2024, um período marcado por investidores institucionais que entregam as costas para os futuros regulamentados da CME. 🏦🚶♂️
Então, o que está impulsionando essa mudança? O JPMorgan aponta para dois fatores principais. Primeiro, alguns investidores institucionais estão descontando, suspeitando que não há catalisadores positivos imediatos no horizonte. Segundo, os fundos orientados para o momento, como consultores de comércio de commodities, estão reduzindo sua exposição a esses ativos digitais. Em suma, os sinais de momento de Bitcoin e Ethereum estão enfraquecendo, e até as métricas do Ethereum estão parecendo um pouco … meh. 📉😬
Interestingly, this report aligns with an earlier JPMorgan survey conducted between January 9 and January 23, 2025. That survey revealed that 71% of institutional traders have no plans to engage with crypto this year. While this is slightly better than the previous year’s 78%, it’s clear that institutional adoption remains a thorny issue. 🏢🤷♂️
On the flip side, retail trading platforms are experiencing a resurgence. Robinhood, for example, reported a 16% surge in share value, thanks to record-breaking revenues in the fourth quarter. This growth is fueled by renewed retail interest in both cryptocurrency and stock markets, highlighting a growing divergence between retail and institutional participants. 🛒📈
In conclusion, while the crypto market may be facing a storm, it seems the retail traders are ready to dance in the rain. 🌧️💃
In a report that could make even the most hardened crypto enthusiast weep into their digital wallets, JPMorgan analysts have sounded the alarm: the crypto market is teetering on the edge of a short-term downturn. The analysts, with the gravitas of a Russian novelist predicting a tragic love affair, pointed to a sharp decline in institutional interest in Bitcoin
$98,031
1.5%
$1.94 T
$27.78 B
and Ethereum
$2,768
1.5%
$333.66 B
$14.22 B
futures contracts. Oh, the humanity! 😱
Institutional Investors: The Ghosts of Crypto Past
According to the report, the crypto market has shed a whopping 15% of its value in just two months, plummeting from a peak of $3.72 trillion on December 17 to a mere $3.17 trillion. Bitcoin and Ethereum futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) are now flirting with “backwardation,” a term that sounds like a failed dance move but actually means futures prices are falling below spot prices. Panigirtzoglou, the analyst with the unpronounceable name, noted that this same scenario played out in mid-2024, a time when institutional investors were as scarce as a sunny day in St. Petersburg. 🌧️
Why the Sudden Cold Feet?
JPMorgan’s analysts, ever the detectives, have identified two key culprits behind this institutional cold shoulder. First, some investors are cashing out, fearing a lack of positive catalysts in the near future. Second, momentum-driven funds are scaling back their exposure to these digital assets. In short, Bitcoin and Ethereum’s momentum signals are weakening faster than a New Year’s resolution. Even Ethereum’s metrics are reportedly dipping into the negative, which is about as cheerful as a Dostoevsky novel. 📉
Retail Traders: The Unsung Heroes?
While institutional investors are busy running for the hills, retail traders are having a moment. A JPMorgan survey conducted between January 9 and January 23, 2025, revealed that 71% of institutional traders have no plans to engage with crypto this year. Meanwhile, platforms like Robinhood are thriving, with a 16% surge in share value driven by record-breaking revenues in the fourth quarter. It seems the little guys are picking up the slack, proving once again that the crypto market is as unpredictable as a Russian winter. ❄️
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2025-02-20 17:54